Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 1.764944 2.035598 2.333409 2.685364 3.089939 3.540460 4.080294
2025-05-04 1.439426 1.806689 2.245316 2.807617 3.509398 4.356605 5.457698
2025-05-11 1.182987 1.597484 2.128827 2.859549 3.838537 5.105474 6.871336
2025-05-18 0.957186 1.379200 1.955193 2.798172 4.000672 5.655433 8.108788
2025-05-25 0.769210 1.174832 1.760492 2.666814 4.034404 6.022659 9.137916
2025-06-01 0.656658 1.057302 1.666009 2.656812 4.229825 6.633130 10.591388
2025-06-08 0.558982 0.944775 1.558992 2.606228 4.348168 7.133420 11.935350
2025-06-15 0.518203 0.915836 1.576720 2.752610 4.794091 8.197420 14.316286
2025-06-22 0.466596 0.859847 1.540300 2.800303 5.077171 9.023883 16.403304
2025-06-29 0.411769 0.789350 1.467972 2.772767 5.221200 9.624021 18.165576
2025-07-06 0.351805 0.700210 1.349418 2.643133 5.159360 9.844630 19.258105
2025-07-13 0.330585 0.681594 1.358198 2.752552 5.557214 10.952997 22.155645
2025-07-20 0.312825 0.668818 1.379376 2.895158 6.051231 12.330305 25.813648
2025-07-27 0.290134 0.642676 1.370681 2.976883 6.435734 13.545823 29.323005
2025-08-03 0.264843 0.607190 1.337868 3.003538 6.709507 14.572783 32.585137
2025-08-10 0.233857 0.554416 1.260919 2.923522 6.741993 15.097237 34.837138
2025-08-17 0.202191 0.495170 1.161305 2.777975 6.606888 15.238344 36.249808
2025-08-24 0.183677 0.464074 1.120921 2.762874 6.767974 16.057983 39.329601
2025-08-31 0.164818 0.429261 1.066996 2.707694 6.826088 16.647578 41.944967
2025-09-07 0.159963 0.428845 1.095485 2.858184 7.405204 18.538876 47.985586
2025-09-14 0.149811 0.413202 1.084210 2.906806 7.735839 19.869931 52.806405
2025-09-21 0.136788 0.387953 1.045097 2.877735 7.862458 20.709370 56.478892
2025-09-28 0.120381 0.350947 0.970271 2.742963 7.690998 20.765996 58.094383